BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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San Diego St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 92 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (5-3) Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength =  140.78

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2022 Home    L   128.55  20  38   1A  67 (  5-  7) Arizona               -12.40     -5.60                      
  2 09/10/2022 Home    W   138.44  38   7   1B  92 (  1- 10) Idaho St               -2.51 *   33.51                      
  3 09/17/2022 Away    L   145.12   7  35   1A  10 ( 10-  3) Utah                    4.17 *  -32.17                      
  4 09/24/2022 Home    W   143.66  17  14   1A  78 (  8-  5) Toledo                  2.71      0.29                      
  5 09/30/2022 Away    L * 130.64  13  35   1A  64 (  9-  4) Boise St              -10.31    -11.69                      
  6 10/08/2022 Home    W * 124.47  16  14   1A 129 (  3- 10) Hawaii                -16.47     18.47                      
  7 10/22/2022 Away    W * 147.17  23   7   1A 125 (  2- 10) Nevada                  6.22      9.78                      
  8 10/29/2022 Away    L * 147.52  28  32   1A  63 (  9-  4) Fresno St               6.57    -10.57                      
  9 11/05/2022 Home    W * 138.12  14  10   1A 106 (  5-  7) UNLV                   -2.83      6.83                      
 10 11/12/2022 Home    W * 156.01  43  27   1A  89 (  7-  4) San Jose St            15.06      0.94                      
 11 11/18/2022 Away    W * 152.88  34  10   1A 128 (  2- 10) New Mexico             11.93     12.07                      
 12 11/26/2022 Home    L * 138.82   3  13   1A  60 (  9-  3) Air Force              -2.13     -7.87                      
      Averages             140.95  21.3 20.2

Best game:  156.01 = 16 point win over San Jose St
Worst game: 124.47 = 2 point win over Hawaii
Team stdev:   9.66